|
Posted on Mon, 01/23/2012 - 11:28 AM by
viewed 150 times
Coming out of lodging industry recessions, we have historically observed fairly significant increases in hotel operating expenses.Since the initial revenue recovery is typically driven by occupancy, variable expenses naturally rise with the increased volume of rooms occupied and guests served. In addition, hotel managers desire to reinstate the services and amenities that were discontinued during the downturn contributes to above-average expense growth.
Labor Is Costly When analyzing hotel expenses, labor costs (inclusive of salaries, wages, bonuses, and payroll-related expenditures) are usually the first item to be examined since they are the largest expense. Since 1960, unit-level labor costs have averaged 43.7 percent of total hotel operating expenses and have increased at an average annual rate of 4.3 percent. This compares to an average annual increase of 4.0 percent for all other operating expenses combined. Changes in hotel labor costs are also extremely volatile. From 1960 to 2010, the standard deviation for the annual changes in unit-level hotel labor costs was 4.2 percent. During this time period the annual changes in hotel labor costs swung from a high of positive 12.3 percent to a low of negative 10.4 percent. Labor Is Controllable Despite the challenges, hotel operators do adjust their staffing and payrolls according to changes in business volumes. Over time, labor costs measured as a percent of total revenue fall in a very tight range of 30 to 35 percent. This indicates that managers will react to changes in revenue. It was management's ability to control labor costs that resulted in only a modest rise in total operating expenses during 2010. From 2009 to 2010, hotel labor costs increased 2.7 percent. This is well below the long run average. For comparison purposes, all other operating expenses grew by 5.3 percent in 2010, significantly above the long run average for this measure. Controlling Factors We attribute management's ability to control labor costs in 2010 to three main factors: increased productivity, controlling employee benefits, and persistent high levels of unemployment. Productivity
Employee Benefits Historically it has been the payroll-related expenses (USALI vernacular for benefits) portion of labor costs that has concerned hotel operators. For the most part, hotel management can adjust hours, wages rates, and salary levels. However, a large component of payroll-related expenses (taxes, health benefits) is government mandated, thus less controllable. In 2010, hotel managers were successful in bucking this trend. During the year, salaries, wages, and bonuses increased by 3.2 percent. Meanwhile, the payroll-related component of compensation grew by just 1.4 percent. According to an October 3, 2011 article in the Wall Street Journal, Marriott International has instituted a policy that allows hourly staffers to take, "paid time off in shorter, part-day increments, so they can manage doctor or school appointments without having to take an entire day off." In an October 5, 2011 HotelNewsNow.com article, Michelle Russo of Hotel Asset Value Enhancement commented on recent practices she has observed among management companies. In addition to cuts in executive committee salaries and changes in incentive calculations, she had seen management companies freeze their 401K contributions. However, as market conditions have improved in 2011, Ms. Russo warns that more managers are achieving their incentive bonuses, thus causing a rise in payroll costs. In addition, 401K matching is being reinstated and pushing year-over-year increases in benefit expenses. High Unemployment The persistent high levels of unemployment have suppressed the pressure on all business owners to raise wages rates and salaries. Unemployment levels have been the highest among people with the least educational experience and lowest levels of income. This is particularly pertinent in the lodging industry which offers a high percentage of low-skilled, line-level positions. Looking Forward Several indicators point towards a continuation of relatively low increases in hotel labor costs in the future. As of September 2011, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecasting total compensation for all private industries to increase at an average annual rate of 2.4 percent from 2011 through 2015. This is less than the 4.0 percent long-run average for this measure. Further, most economic forecasters are projecting continued high levels of unemployment among the traditional labor pool for line-level hotel employees. Randy Pullen, president of WageWatch, Inc., noted in an October 16, 2011 article on HotelsMag.com that he has already seen hotel operators report a roll back in the labor cost increases that hoteliers were initially expecting for 2011. In November of 2010, 2,400 hotels had reported to WageWatch that they budgeted for a 2.9 percent average increase in hourly and salaried compensation for the upcoming year. Through October 2011, WageWatch survey participants were reporting that actual labor cost increases for the current year have materialized at an annual rate of just 1.4 percent. Staffing levels may be up due to the increase in occupancy, but the salary and wage component of labor costs still appears to be under control. According to the December 2011 edition of Hotel Horizons®, PKF-HR is forecasting extremely low levels of new supply, along with above-average increases in demand and ADR through 2015. The net result will be annual RevPAR gains ranging from 6.1 to 7.4 percent through 2014. The ability of hotel managers to control labor costs will be a major contributing factor enabling revenue gains to translate into double-digit annual growth in profits. * * * Robert Mandelbaum is the Director of Research Information Services for PKF Hospitality Research. He is located in the firm's Atlanta office. For more information on PKF-HR benchmarking reports, please visit www.pkfc.com/store. This article was published in the December 2011 issue of Lodging. MORE NEWS FROM BLUEMAUMAUTaxes and the DeficitNormally, this column is supposed to cover the tax changes over the prior year and how they impact the hospitality industry. Last year, we commented about how 2010 was an interesting year but little in the tax field had passed. 2010 was all about health care reform, the change in control of the House and the rise of the tea party. It was a very political and partisan year. If anything, 2011 was worse. Never has so little been accomplished by so many. Brinkmanship was the key word for 2011. It will be known more for what did not occur rather than what did. It is not unusual for partisan politics to take center stage in an election year. While 2011 was not, the race for the Presidency and control of the House and Senate began before all the winners from 2010 were known. National Press Writes about Restaurant FranchisingOn May 18th, the national press, both The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, wrote about restaurant franchising. Some additional notes are warranted. Mediation: Good, Bad or It Depends?Mediation is often touted as the greatest thing since sliced bread for faster, fairer, and cheaper dispute resolution. Is it? Going International? Don’t Forget One Important ThingFranchisors that are considering exporting their franchise concept to other countries are advised to prepare by following a checklist of key items. However, there is one area that is often overlooked or shortchanged in the process. Going Green Costs Franchisees Much GreenBeing forced to buy imaginary products is just one of the nonsensical results of government policy affecting franchisors and franchisees. RELATED SMALL BUSINESS NEWSMobile Franchises: Do You Like Cars? Hot Franchise Topic: Getting a LoanIt seems like the entire franchise industry is focused on funding, and with good reason; franchise loans are still a bit challenging to secure. Good News, U.S. Hotel Profit RecoveryAccording to the new PKF Trends survey, the U.S. lodging industry produced a 12.7% profit growth in 2011. 80.5% of participating hotels enjoyed an increase in total revenue while 72.3% achieved growth in profits. The recently released 2012 edition of Trends presents data from a sample of nearly 7000 financial statements of United States hotels. For the Trends report, hotel profits are defined as net operating income (NOI) before deductions for capital reserves, rent, interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization. Federal Court Invalidates "Quickie" Union Election Rule, For NowOn May 14, 2012, the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia set aside a controversial final rule of the National Labor Relations Board ("NLRB") that was designed to make it easier and faster for unions to hold organizing elections. Chamber of Commerce of the United States of America, et al. v. NLRB, Case No. 11-02262 (D.D.C. May 14, 2012). Business groups are hailing the decision, but the celebration may be short lived. Because the ruling was essentially decided on a procedural point, the NLRB may seek to resurrect the rule, which creates a very short window for union elections, and leaves employers with little time to react to an organized union campaign. Field Representatives Coach Franchisees to Victory
A good coach will make his players see what they can be rather than what they are. |
Get funding to grow your small businessLet us help you find the best financing option for your business needs.
Stay up-to-date with our small business newsletterTweet, +1, and Like FunderFollow Us |
|
Copyright © 2012 RBF Management, LLC | Lighter Capital Network™ Privacy Policy | contact@funder.org |